NedNotes (not blog) 24jul20 COVID data (big pixure)

Weekly common-sized mortality among thirty-three (33) states and six (6) territories as at 24th July 2020
Note Status of 'low' to 'very high' in red-font means elevated since previous week (not a good change)
  1. Idaho still safest region followed by Vermont 
  2. Northeast levelled off with marginal risk presently very low
  3. South and Southwest (S. / S.W.) with slight moderation in infection rate
  4. S. / S.W. growth rate in deaths still > 10% per week in five sample states
  5. S. / S.W. death toll as high as 150-200,000 next three months
  6. vaccine roll-out, effectiveness crucial
  7. U.S. static pool rate declining from 9.5% to 8.2%, still 1.5x the global rate
  8. moderate improvment in U.S. mortality run-rate at 3.5%, better than global rate
  9. Global static pool rate from 6.8% to 5.3%; run-rate at 3.9%
  10. U.S. critical care patients (leading mortality indicator) up 16% to 19,100
One hundred, fifty health experts want the United States to shut down again. The Preisdent's message for school re-opening appears to be targeted for wealthier school districts and private schools. The poorer schools may be left without resources.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/07/24/covid-update-trump-cancels-florida-portion-gop-convention-cdc-school/5495991002/ 





Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NedNotes (not blog): weekly COVID round-up 11sep20

Image
In remembrance of 11th September 2001   B.L.U.F. (bottom-line, up front): trends indicate positive, if uneven, performance as new miniature hot spots emerge with states and second waves may be forming. The bellwether states showed strong progress in Oklahoma (1% mortality run rate), California (2.3% run rate), and Tejas (2.8% fatality rate), each below the average of 3.0%. Final mortality levels likely to come in below that base case projected in April 2020 ; mortality run rate may be approaching ultimate level as it has remained a 3.0% for the better part of the last month. Death rates remain uneven, with improvements over the Labour Day week-end only to record one of the highest daily death rates on Wednesday. Among the bellwether states of the South and Southwest (S./S.W.), Florida continues to struggle , with a third of its mortality in August; that pace appears to be slowing with marginal daily positivity rates at 6% (14% cumulative). New cases continue to overwhe...
Read more

NedNotes (not blog): Transition & Extras; 'Lawfare' Summary of Senate Intel Report (Volume #5)

Image
  Hard National Security Choices https://www.lawfareblog.com/collusion-reading-diary-what-did-senate-intelligence-committee-find      SUPPORT Monday, September 7, 2020 A Collusion Reading Diary: What Did the Senate Intelligence Committee Find?  By  Todd Carney ,  Samantha Fry ,  Quinta Jurecic ,  Jacob Schulz ,  Tia Sewell ,  Margaret Taylor ,  Benjamin Wittes Friday, August 21, 2020, 4:41 PM The fifth and final volume of the Select Intelligence Committee’s bipartisan  report  on Russian interference in the 2016 election is an incredibly long and detailed document. At a whopping 966 pages, volume 5 alone is more than twice the length of the Mueller report, and it covers a great deal more ground. It is important for another reason: Along with the shorter volumes 1-4, the Senate’s report is the only credible account of the events of 2016 to which Republican elected officials have signed their names. McConnell, in the sa...
Read more

NedNotes (not blog): COVID data sweep 09oct20

Image
B.L.U.F. (bottom-line, up-front): numbers continue to improve nationally, particularly in the bellwether states. These positives shroud a quickening spread through rural areas. Though the death toll is high after the first wave, states appear to be managing the emerging second wave well. INTRODUCTION: Update on President Trump With the attendant publicity, the illness and hospitalisation of the President give one a peek into what (s)he can expect – in treatment, if not alacrity – should that person fall prey to the disease. The President’s ordeal presents a case study. Expertise and learning curves have kicked in for segmented mitigation. Specifically, President Trump underwent the following treatments in the following order: pre-hospital care in being diagnosed almost immediately, followed by; experimental anti-body drug aimed at preventing fresh infections from progressing, currently in initial testing, but granted to President Trump, along with a very few others, for reasons...
Read more