NedNotes (bnot blog): Covid data sweep 02oct20

Update on the President. While the nation prays for the first family or wishes the Trumps well, a study from Cornell University has cited President Trump as the number-1 source of misinformation on the American epidemic as he has politicised the coronavirus contagion.

The good news is that, in a statement from Walter Reed Naval Hospital, President Trump shunned the teleprompter candidly to assure the people of the United States of America and around the world that he is doing well and still in full command of the office. In this four minute video statement, he was very gracious toward the First Lady.

B.L.U.F. The bellwether states are making progress except for Oklahoma, a smaller state that reflects the rural spread of the COVID epidemic through remote, often under-served areas in the deep South and Midwest. 

Bellwether states. Though the smallest by far of the bellwether states, Oklahoma‘s alarming results this week reflect the rural spread of the coronavirus, which has been accelerating; this trend has become particularly true in Wisconsin. Florida is sending mixed signals with a resurgence of cases after restaurants and bars were permitted to let it rip followed by Governor DeSantis (R) stating that closing schools was a large public policy error.

As schools re-open in California, by far the largest of the gang of five, with aggressive measures to contain the spread of the coronavirus among university students, the state government of Governor Newsom (D) is pushing hard to reverse the disturbing trends in its minority / disadvantaged communities. A recent, comprehensive study out of India, clarifies how the coronavirus savages poorer people and why it does.

Relative to the other large states in the five-state focus group, Tejas continues to struggle moderately but the Lone Star State is addressing the larger COVID questions vigorously. Despite a death toll 55-60% above that national median, but in view of recent performance, Arizonans still fight over mask mandates notwithstanding President Trump’s falling ill to the coronavirus.

Other general news this week. Other general news this week. One possible reason for the faltering progress on contact tracing is cultural: many people do not trust the government or other institutions in disclosing the ‘where-&-who’ of personal movements. For example, a gap in contract tracing has opened up a new micro-hot-spot in rural New Jersey; a traditional religious community apparently prefers not to engage. This cultural friction is rippling throughout the society as the virus becomes increasingly politicised. For example, Trump Admin. political appointees have been hacking the C.D.C. web-site to transmit, under cover of scientific authority, guidance against expert consensus.










Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NedNotes (not blog): weekly COVID round-up 11sep20

Image
In remembrance of 11th September 2001   B.L.U.F. (bottom-line, up front): trends indicate positive, if uneven, performance as new miniature hot spots emerge with states and second waves may be forming. The bellwether states showed strong progress in Oklahoma (1% mortality run rate), California (2.3% run rate), and Tejas (2.8% fatality rate), each below the average of 3.0%. Final mortality levels likely to come in below that base case projected in April 2020 ; mortality run rate may be approaching ultimate level as it has remained a 3.0% for the better part of the last month. Death rates remain uneven, with improvements over the Labour Day week-end only to record one of the highest daily death rates on Wednesday. Among the bellwether states of the South and Southwest (S./S.W.), Florida continues to struggle , with a third of its mortality in August; that pace appears to be slowing with marginal daily positivity rates at 6% (14% cumulative). New cases continue to overwhe...
Read more

NedNotes (not blog): Transition & Extras; 'Lawfare' Summary of Senate Intel Report (Volume #5)

Image
  Hard National Security Choices https://www.lawfareblog.com/collusion-reading-diary-what-did-senate-intelligence-committee-find      SUPPORT Monday, September 7, 2020 A Collusion Reading Diary: What Did the Senate Intelligence Committee Find?  By  Todd Carney ,  Samantha Fry ,  Quinta Jurecic ,  Jacob Schulz ,  Tia Sewell ,  Margaret Taylor ,  Benjamin Wittes Friday, August 21, 2020, 4:41 PM The fifth and final volume of the Select Intelligence Committee’s bipartisan  report  on Russian interference in the 2016 election is an incredibly long and detailed document. At a whopping 966 pages, volume 5 alone is more than twice the length of the Mueller report, and it covers a great deal more ground. It is important for another reason: Along with the shorter volumes 1-4, the Senate’s report is the only credible account of the events of 2016 to which Republican elected officials have signed their names. McConnell, in the sa...
Read more

NedNotes (not blog): COVID data sweep 09oct20

Image
B.L.U.F. (bottom-line, up-front): numbers continue to improve nationally, particularly in the bellwether states. These positives shroud a quickening spread through rural areas. Though the death toll is high after the first wave, states appear to be managing the emerging second wave well. INTRODUCTION: Update on President Trump With the attendant publicity, the illness and hospitalisation of the President give one a peek into what (s)he can expect – in treatment, if not alacrity – should that person fall prey to the disease. The President’s ordeal presents a case study. Expertise and learning curves have kicked in for segmented mitigation. Specifically, President Trump underwent the following treatments in the following order: pre-hospital care in being diagnosed almost immediately, followed by; experimental anti-body drug aimed at preventing fresh infections from progressing, currently in initial testing, but granted to President Trump, along with a very few others, for reasons...
Read more